by Craig Dimitri

Of the 33 seats up this cycle, there are only eight – the “Big Eight”, currently in significant likelihood of changing party control.  Six are incumbent Republicans, one is a currently GOP open-seat, one is an incumbent Democrat.   Democrats must make a net gain of six seats to take control, 51-49.

It is rare to call Senate races in favor of challengers prior to Halloween.  (Actually, it is not just rare, but virtually unheard of, to do so.)  But Democrats effectively defeated a Republican incumbent on Friday.  The RNC officially confirmed that they would be running up a white flag to the Democrats in Ohio, stating that no national TV money would be wasted, in a fruitless attempt to save Sen. Mike DeWine in the Buckeye State.

DeWine is mired hopelessly behind his Democratic challenger, U.S. Rep. Sherrod Brown, in a state where the GOP has been rocked by scandal.  An independent poll, WCPO/Survey USA, announced Friday that Brown leads DeWine by a 20-point margin, 57%-37%.

Ironically, the GOP surrender comes in the pivotal state of the 2004 presidential election, where President George W. Bush carried the state by about 2% over John F. Kerry.  Had Kerry won the state, he would have become President despite losing the popular vote by about 3 million ballots.

Questions?  Comments?  Information?  You can contact Craig Dimitri at


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