[Manifestly U.S. pols of both parties simply do not get it.  The most hazardous job available in Iraq today is service one way or another in its ‘government’.  Also this may be the most pointless job that an Iraqi can undertake — hope the pay is good.  There is no way that Iraq is going to be able to pull together a coherent government.  The divides between its factions — Kurds, Sunnis, Shiites — are far too wide, as are their animosities.  Lest we forget, the Sunnis were gassing the Kurds not so many years ago under Hussein and also oppressing the Shiites.  One can expect that they are damned concerned that without the American peace keepers around, their days are numbered.  Someone should do a spot check on the identities of the several millions of Iraqis who have fled the country.  I would venture that the bulk are Sunnis getting out before the revenge game gets going full force — it is currently knocking out how many hundreds each week?

So getting back to our U.S. pols — expecting the Iraqis to be good little children and sit down together after recess is the height of inanity.  Any with a clear eye can see the only likely game in town over there is a massive bloodbath generated by our interference with the Hussein imposed lid on major violence.  Too late to bring him back now.  Presumably Iraqis are looking for some sort of equivalent to end the on-going slaughter.  That will not be democracy as we know it.  So no point in expecting the impossible from the Iraqi pols.  Ed Kent]



WASHINGTON —  Congress may be divided on whether to keep U.S. troops in Iraq, but there is one area where lawmakers are finding common ground: They are furious that Iraqi politicians are considering a lengthy break this summer.

“If they go off on vacation for two months while our troops fight — that would be the outrage of outrages,” said Rep. Chris Shays, a Republican.

The Iraq parliament’s recess, starting this July, would likely come without Baghdad politicians reaching agreements considered key to easing sectarian tensions. Examples include regulating distribution of the country’s oil wealth and reversing measures that have excluded many Sunnis from jobs and government positions because of Baath party membership.

Talk of the adjournment comes amid a heated debate in Congress on the pullout of U.S. troops in Iraq.

President George W. Bush this week vetoed $124.2 billion legislation ordering troops to begin leaving Oct. 1. Failing on Wednesday to gain a two-thirds majority needed to override the veto, Democrats were expected to begin negotiations Thursday with top White House aides on the next step.

Numerous possible compromises are being floated on Capitol Hill, all involving some combination of benchmarks. The key impasse, however, is whether to require redeployments of U.S. troops if the benchmarks are not met.

Democrats contend that initiating troop withdrawals will pressure Iraqis into making the necessary political compromises. Republicans say the Iraqis could still refuse to work together and the consequence will be a blood bath.

The only area of agreement between the two sides is that the Iraqis are testing their patience.

“That is not acceptable,” Republican Sen. John Warner said of a two-month recess. “An action of that consequence would send a very bad signal to the world that they don’t have the resolve that matches the resolve of the brave troops that are fighting in the battle today.”

Added Sen. Ben Nelson, a Democrat: “I certainly hope they’re not going to take any sort of recess when the question is whether they’re going to make any progress.”

Republicans and Democrats themselves remain gridlocked on how far to go to force Bush’s hand on the war. When asked about progress made on bipartisan cooperation in Congress, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, a Democrat, declared to reporters Wednesday there had been “discussions about talking” but nothing more.

Congress leaves for four weeks each August and takes a week off, sometimes more, around prominent holidays. Lawmakers frequently adjourn for the August recess without reaching agreements on important legislation.

However, sectarian violence continues to rage in Iraq. In one particularly devastating attack, a bomb struck the Sadriyah market last month, killing more than 120 people and wounding more than 140 more.

More than 3,350 U.S. troops have died in Iraq. April was the deadliest month for the military this year.

The violence in Iraq and lack of structure in the new government are partly to blame for the slow political progress. For example, getting a quorum among Iraqi politicians can be difficult because a number of top Sunni legislators do not spend much time in Baghdad due to security reasons. Parliament leaders are also still struggling to impose party discipline among their rank-and-file members.

The Iraqis have been able to reach consensus in some areas, but not necessarily ones that would calm sectarian violence.

On Monday — the same day Democratic Rep. Ike Skelton issued a statement urging the Iraqi politicians to reconsider their summer break — the Iraqi parliament called for a ban on U.S. troops near a holy Shiite Muslim shrine. Protests were led by the radical anti-U.S. Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr’s bloc after U.S. and Iraqi troops conducted a raid near the shrine.

“A war is just if there is no alternative, and the resort to arms is legitimate if they represent your last hope.” (Livy cited by Machiavelli)

Ed Kent  718-951-5324 (voice mail only) [blind copies]

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