The British journal Lancet,  will be or has published the latest death count of Iraq, finding a survey of households has shown fifty percent of households in Baghdad have lost at least one family member, and that correlating their numbers the report says that one million civilian casualties have occured in Iraq since the US invaded that country.

My link is to the survey site, not Lancet, but does give data.
The timing of the report, to correspond to Petreus’ report to the Congress, is similar to the last Lancet report, which was timed to be released shortly before an American election.

Ironically, although the US press tends to emphasize car bombs (which is good publicity for the killers of innocent civilians) most of the deaths were murders by gunshots.

Gunshot wounds suggest death from criminal action (murder in the course of robbery or kidnapping) or more recently from AlSadr’s Shiite death squads seeking revenge by killing any Sunni or Christian available to be killed. (Saddam’s government was run by Sunnis, and many Shiites seek revenge by ethnic cleansing. Christians are targeted because they were favored under the Saddam regieme, and also for being infidels).

So the high number of casualties by gunshot wound makes one wonder if the poll was biased with numbers from minority Sunni households.
The lack of death certificates is another troubling factor: This is a modern city, not Rwanda.
Using households to estimate deaths may be misleading, since households are extended families, not nuclear families, and household members come and go.
A second bias is that the relatively peaceful Kurdish areas were not included. On the other hand, neither were Sunni areas controlled until recently by AlQaeda, where killings and other atrocities by AlQaeda related groups were so bad that the tribal members are now busy joining with the Americans (the enemy of my enemy is my friend).
Finally, the most questionable part of the report estimates a quarter million people killed by suicide car bombs,  a much higher number than has been noted by any major media source.

This brings up questions of accuracy. Relatives killed by being shot might be quietly buried without paper work, but it’s hard to hide a car bombing.
Car bombs are weapons of propaganda, and need “publicity” to be effective, and even if the MSM didn’t report the bombs, other “outlets” besides the press is available to advertise the “success” of these bombs in jihadi web sites. It would be interesting to ask those analyzing jihadi sites if large numbers of such car bombs occurred without the MSM noticing it.
LINK is a discussion of the data. Most of the questions and discussion are intelligent, which is unusual, since most discussions on Iraq quickly degenerate into cliches and hate speech against other posters.
But I am also aware that few outside of Human rights organizations bothered to notice the mass graves and the half million Shiite refugees who fled Saddam Hussein back in the 1990’s , or noticed that killed 600 000 children.

Right now, the “surge” is about stopping AlSadr’s death squads from their planned ethnic cleansing of all Sunnis. The “civil war” has many enablers from nearby countries, and the real question is how to stablize things…

A look at recent history shows that Saddam Hussein’s war with Iran left two million dead and 1.3 million Iraqi refugees into Iran alone.
There is no easy answer, and those offering simplistic cliches of “US troops out now” might end up causing unintended consequences of more war and anarchy
Military analyst Austen Bay offers several scenerios HERE.


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