The BBC has reported that England’s Met Office is predicting that 2007 will be a hotter year than 2006 was. The Met Office gives this year a 60% chance of breaking the current record of 1998, the hottest year thus far. In the same report, the Office also said that 2006 was the hottest year on record in Britain since they began formally recording temperatures in 1914.

They give two reasons for this climate surge in 2007:  continued growth of greenhouse gas emissions and residual effects of El Nino.

Agree or disagree, the case for greenhouse gases has been well explained and is understood by most people.  But El Nino took place in 2006, how would that continue to affect temperatures in 2007?

El Nino has reached a fairly impressive level in the Pacific already and is predicted to continue will into the first quarter of this new year.  That is going to have a “domino” effect.  That’s not all.  There is also a lag between the cause of El Nino and the effect of global temperatures, a lag of four months and possibly even longer.  The unseasonably warm weather currently being experienced in most of the United States is only about the middle of the effect which El Nino will have on the climate, if even that far along.

Compound that with the warning about impending hurricane doom in the American Southeast, and this will surely make for a weather year to remember.

[Edited by Simon – Minor]

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