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       Tuesday, September 19, 2006

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Blinded By Science

by Ric Ottaiano
Septmeber 19, 2006

Maybe my brain is oddly wired, or I haven’t yet developed the ability to read and cogently assimilate information, but this has got me flummoxed.

As you may know, I’m not a worshipper at the altar of global warming. I don’t necessarily doubt that the Earth is becoming incrementally warmer, but I am wholly unconvinced that whatever warming there has been over the last 25-50 years has been largely the result of human activity. And stories reporting studies such as this do nothing to convince me I’m at all wrong. In fact, the way these stories are headlined and written gets my little mind thinking this is all part of an agenda.

Yes, as the headline shouts, 2006 apparently was the hottest summer since 1936 (which was a bit warmer than this year). But a review of the acompanying data chart reveals that the third warmest summer in the last 70 years was in 1934. And the sixth warmest was in 1933. So three of the six warmest summers in the last 70 years ocurred in the 1930s. A further review of the data tells us that five of the ten warmest summers in the last 70 years ocurred in 1931, 1933, 1934, 1936 and 1937.

To my untrained eye, it would appear that the current warm spell (2001-2006) is oddly similar to the one that took place over the period 1931-1936; which was during the Great Depression and before the industrial ramp-up to WWII. And no one has postulated that the warming of the 1930s was the result of anything other than natural temperature cycles.

So the question remains: How can we say that the cause of the recent warming trend isn’t the same as the very similar one we experienced over 70 years ago?

[This article also appears at Release The Hounds!]

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posted by ric ottaiano at 2:56 PM  


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