A few days ago I made fun of the New York Times for debating whether Foleygate might affect Christian conservative support for Republicans. Polls, however, are showing there actually is something to the notion — not necessarily in the core evangelical community the NYT wrote of, but in religious whites more broadly.

(You need to watch an ad, or subscribe, to read the article linked from “showing.”)

A random member of this group is now as likely to vote Democrat as Republican.What Gallup emphasizes less, however, is that religious whites are still more likely to vote Republican than non-religious whites and minorities.

And as I’ve pointed out before, the effects of recent news will probably wear off some before the elections.

Robert VerBruggen blogs at http://robertsrationale.blogspot.com.

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