[It is hard to imagine a worse scenario than the following. Let us hope that it is a bluff. Needless to say, were Israel to launch such an attack it would mean the loss of many Iranian lives — unlike the 1981 hit on a surface Iraqi plant. Presumably some of the following things would follow such an attack;

1) oil cut off from Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and Iran — Iraq mines Strait of Hormuz http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strait_of_Hormuz See map showing narrow 30 mile passage by Iran through which all must pass — including U.S. supplies to Iraq.

2) Muslims generally enraged at U.S. and Israel and a full scale culture war then launched.

3) Dominant Shiites in Iraq back Iran and condemn U.S. and Israel.

4) World opinion notes military rather than negotiating stances of Israel and U.S.

5) Russia and China (and others?) condemn U.S. and Israel in UN Security Council.

6) Gas and oil prices escalated past $100 per barrel of oil and up to $ 10.00 per gallon for gas.

7) World economic crash.

8) Bush declares martial law against protesters.

Undsoweiter!

Ed Kent]

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1171894504905&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull

Feb. 24, 2007 9:24 | Updated Feb. 24, 2007 15:45
Report: Israel is seeking US consent to fly over Iraq
By JPOST.COM STAFF

Israel is negotiating with the United States for permission to fly over Iraq as part of a plan to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, the UK’s Daily Telegraph reported on Saturday morning.

The report claimed that Israel plans to conduct surgical air strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities, although did not specify which installments Israel would strike.

# Iran: World making baseless allegations
# Israel: Hit Iran with new sanctions now
# US Affairs: Congressional cold shoulder

Deputy Defense Minister MK Ephraim Sneh denied the reports, claiming that no such plan exists and added that the reports hailed from sources that wished to renounce responsibility for a lack of diplomatic action towards the Iranian nuclear threat.

In order to conduct such an operation, the defense establishment would need to seek permission from the Pentagon, said the Telegraph.

The newspaper quoted a senior Israeli defense official who told reporters that negotiations were now underway between the two countries for the US-led coalition in Iraq to provide an “air corridor” in the event of the Knesset deciding on unilateral military action to prevent Teheran developing nuclear weapons.”

“We are planning for every eventuality, and sorting out issues such as these are crucially important,” said the official, who asked not to be named.

“The only way to do this is to fly through US-controlled air space. If we don’t sort these issues out now we could have a situation where American and Israeli war planes start shooting at each other.”

On Thursday night Israeli officials urged “crisper” and “faster” moves to sanction Iran after a UN report found the Islamic Republic had expanded its program to obtain nuclear weapons.

Iran ignored the UN’s deadline last Wednesday to halt uranium enrichment. Officials will discuss arms controls and whether to cut back on the $25 billion-worth of export credits which are used by European companies to trade with Iran.

“A war is just if there is no alternative, and the resort to arms is legitimate if they represent your last hope.” (Livy cited by Machiavelli)

Ed Kent 718-951-5324 (voice mail only) [blind copies]
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