(This is in continuation of the previous article) 

The JDS party led by Mr Deve Gowda and his son Mr Kumaraswamy enjoyed the power for about 20 months with the company of BJP. But when the time came to transfer the power to BJP, it backtracked from its promise. This led to the success of Yeddyurappa and resulted in  BJP coming to power last time.

Now having been out of power for some time, JDS should have learnt some lessons. It did gain some brownie points during the Cauvery agitation since Mr Deve Gowda was the only political leader of substance who strongly opposed the decision of the Supreme Court in the issue. Congress was a party to the decision and BJP state leaders simply vanished from the scene when vital decisions were required to be taken.

JDS already has the image of a “Regional Party” which KJP is only trying to build now. With leaders like Mrs Jayalalitha in the neighboring states  able to use their “Regional Strength” to bring the National Governments to their knees and get decisions which are blatantly against the interests of Karnataka, the relevance of a strong regional party in Karnataka is only on the increase.

Even when a national party such as  Congress or BJP  is in power in the center and the same party rules in the State, the survival needs of the Central Government may always assist the reigional parties such as the AIDMK, DMK, TMC, SP, BSP etc. since the members of a political party in the center cannot go against the party diktats when it comes to voting. Hence the votes of the Congress MPs will be taken for granted by the UPA and the votes of the BJP MPs will be taken for granted by the NDA whenever an interstate issue such as Cauvery comes up for voting in the Loksabha.

Unless the national parties  change their Governance from “Survival Principle” to “Justice Principle”, it would be only regional parties supporting a Government in a shaky coalition that will have all the benefits from the Central Government.

In view of this, Karnataka can benefit if there is a strong regional party that gets about 20 of the 28 Loksabha seats in the State. JDS either on its own or in conjunction with KJP has the potential to get 15-20 Loksabha seats  provided it can establish itself amongst the people as the “Saviour of Local interests”. In the present election KJP has to focus only on vindicating Mr Yeddyurappa and hence is not in a position to take up any specific image position as a leading “Regional Party”. For JDS this is an opportunity and we need to see how it will convert this opportunity into action.

The past actions of JDS in terms of its betrayal of the BJP as well as its anti development stance in terms of infrastructural projects will of course weigh against the sudden uprising of the party.

In balance JDS is likely to improve its present position and is likely  to be a key in any coalition led either by the Congress or by BJP.

…Contd..in part IV

Na.Vijayashankar

As a Voter  of Karnataka

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