by Craig Dimitri
U.S.Â Rep.Â Rob Simmons (R) is seeking a fourth term in theÂ House.Â But Democratic challengerÂ Joe Courtney – who lost to Simmons in 2002 – has battled Simmons all the way, and the race remains too close to call as we enter the final week.Â Three independent polls have recently disagreed – one putting Simmons ahead, one placing Courtney in the lead, and one saying it’s too close to call…
Research 2000, in a cooperative effort withÂ The Day newspaper, was the most recent.Â Its poll, which concluded onÂ Oct. 30, sampled 600 likely voters by phone.Â It concluded that the campaign was a statistical tie: 48% for Simmons, 47% Courtney, well within the margin of error.
Reuters/Zogby, which concluded its poll of 500 likely voters a day earlier, showed Simmons with a 47%-42% advantage, showing the incumbent with a lead beyond the margin of error.
But MajorityWatch, which concluded its poll of 947 likely voters on October 26, gave Courtney a lead outside the margin of error (one which was smaller, just 3.18%, given the larger sample size.)Â MajorityWatch pegged the contest at Courtney 51%, Simmons 45%, well beyond the margin of error.Â It uses recorded phoneÂ calls to survey, unlike the first two polls, which used live callers.Â One silver lining for Simmons, per this poll: it was the earliest of the three polls, and there may have been some voter movement since then.
Simmons official campaign site – http://www.simmonsforcongress.com/
Courtney official campaign site – http://www.joecourtney.com/
Reuters-Zogby poll – www.zogby.com
MajorityWatch poll – http://www.majoritywatch.com/
Questions?Â Comments?Â Information?Â You can contact Craig Dimitri at firstname.lastname@example.org.Â