According to Zimbabwe’s Business Day, Robert Mugabe has (privately) conceded defeat in the Presidential Elections to his family and to his closest advisors, including the military and police chiefs. 

“Mugabe has conceded to his closest advisers — the army, police and intelligence chiefs. He has also told his family and personal advisers that he has lost the election,” a source said. 

“Now he is trying to decide if he should contest the run off or not. Diehards want him to fight to the bitter end, but family and personal advisers are urging him to quit,” the source said.  (Both quotes by Dumisani Muleya in Business Day.) 

We learned yesterday that Mugabe’s Zanu-PF had officially lost the parliamentary elections.  But, because Zimbabwe’s President is an Executive President, and Mugabe has steadily assumed the powers of a dictator over the years, Zimbabwe’s Parliament is of comparatively little importance. 

As I predicted in my post yesterday, the leader of the opposition MDC party, Morgan Tsvangirai, has some smart negotiating to do in order to take the reins of power peacefully from Mugabe.  I also predicted that it would be Mugabe’s henchmen who would be hardest to win over… if that’s possible at all. 

Should Mugabe submit to the ‘indignity’ of facing a runoff against Tsvangirai? (Required if neither candidate ‘officially’ has the required 50 percent of votes to avoid a new contest).  Tsvangirai claims 50.3 percent against Mugabe’s 43.8, but others say Tsvangirai has “only” 49 percent against Mugabe’s 43.  Yet Mugabe is likely to lose any runoff, unless there is even greater manipulation of results. 

Inevitably, tensions in Zimbabwe are running high.  Whatever Mugabe decides, he must realise that he is now fatally weakened and can never rule Zimbabwe effectively… 

Mugabe’s authority has gone and if he clings to power, he will become a mere puppet of his own military.  He looks tired and confused – will he understand the predicament he faces?   Will the old terrorist leader give up?

END

Author, Peter Davies was a soldier in Rhodesia from 1963 to 1975, where he took part in the capture and interrogation of terrorists.  His novel, Scatterlings of Africa, is based on his own experience during Rhodesia’s war on terror, and personal observations of how terrorist activities impacted Rhodesia (now Zimbabwe) and its people.  http://www.peterdaviesbooks.com

Readers who would like to make a contribution to help innocent pensioners, who are unable to buy food and other basic necessities in Zimbabwe, should please contact Patricia Williams by email patashnix@btinternet.com.

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