The conventional wisdom says that the Clinton/Obama battle hurts the Democratic Party the longer it drags out, but I disagree. I think that whoever emerges as the nominee could be in a prime position to ride a wave of momentum the whole way to the White House. It is commonly argued that the Democrats are at a disadvantage for the general election campaign by not having their nominee at the earliest possible date, but I think this argument overlooks the value of media coverage. Until the Republican convention, John McCain is going to struggle to stay in the conscience of the voters.
McCain’s current trip to Iraq is an example of the kind of events he is going to have to continually engage in just to stay relevant in the era of the 24 hour cable news cycle. McCain’s biggest problem is that he has nothing to do until the convention, and in this day and age, out of sight really is out of mind to most voters. What makes this even more difficult for McCain is that the Democratic race has captured the imagination of the American public.
It seems that everyone has a favorite, or at least an opinion, on the two Democrats. A very unscientific example is Saturday Night Live. Somewhere in the early part of the show they usually feature something about the Democrats. Last Saturday, it was in the final half hour of the broadcast that they did a sketch about McCain. This was the first McCain sketch I had seen from them since they resumed production.SNL does have its biases, but it is also an accurate reflection of what is hot in pop culture.
Clinton vs. Obama has transcended politics and moved into the realm of pop culture. A convention where the nominee will be determined will focus the nation’s attention on the Democratic Party. It will be historic, and the biggest event on television. Whoever comes out of the convention as the nominee is not only battle tested, but has gotten tons of free media, while John McCain has sat around twiddling his thumbs for months. The whole pick your candidate and unify early strategy hasn’t always worked well for the Democrats. They tried this in 2004, and we all remember how well that went. Â
Democrats are so motivated to win the White House that I believe they will rally around whoever their nominee is whenever that may be. Their nominee will already have the fundraising advantage, and will be appealing to an electorate that is craving change. Some Republican strategists know that their best hope for retaining the White House is if the Democrats tear the party apart with a brutal primary campaign.
So far, both Clinton and Obama have been careful to avoid this. When they sense things getting too nasty, both camps have developed a habit of pulling back. My own best guess is that the super delegates will go with the delegate leader, and this dispute will be virtually settled before the convention, but my point is that a brokered convention would be far from the worst case scenario for the Democratic Party. In fact, it might be the key to victory.
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1 user commented in " Could a Brokered Convention Actually Help the Democratic Party? "
Follow-up comment rss or Leave a TrackbackDON’T BE DUPED!!!
Large numbers of Republicans have been voting for Barack Obama in the DEMOCRATIC primaries, and caucuses. Because they feel he would be a weaker opponent against John McCain. And because they feel that a Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama ticket would be unbeatable. And also because with a Clinton and Obama ticket you are almost 100% certain to get quality, affordable universal health care very soon.
But first, all of you have to make certain that Hillary Clinton takes the democratic nomination and then the Whitehouse. NOW! is the time. THIS! is the moment you have all been working, and waiting for. You can do this America. “Carpe diem” (harvest the day).
I think Hillary Clinton see’s a beautiful world of plenty, and comfort for all. She is a woman, and a mother. And it’s time America. Do this for your-self, and your children’s future. You will have to work together on this and be aggressive, relentless, and creative. Americans face an even worse catastrophe ahead than the one you are living through now.
You see, the medical and insurance industry mostly support the republicans with the money they ripped off from you. And they don’t want you to have quality, affordable universal health care. They want to be able to continue to rip you off, and kill you and your children by continuing to deny you life saving medical care that you have already paid for. So they can continue to make more immoral profits for them-self.
Hillary Clinton has actually won by much larger margins than the vote totals showed. And lost by much smaller vote margins than the vote totals showed. Her delegate count is actually much higher than it shows. And higher than Obama’s. HILLARY CLINTON IS ALREADY THE TRUE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE!
As much as 30% of Obama’s primary, and caucus votes are Republicans trying to choose the weakest democratic candidate for McCain to run against. These Republicans have been gaming the caucuses where it is easier to vote cheat. This is why Obama has not been able to win the BIG! states primaries. Even with Republican vote cheating help.
Hillary Clinton has been out manned, out gunned, and out spent 2 and 3 to 1. Yet Obama has only been able to manage a very tenuous, and questionable tie with Hillary Clinton.
If Obama is the democratic nominee for the national election in November he will be slaughtered. Because the Republican vote cheating help will suddenly evaporate. All of this vote fraud and republican manipulation has made Obama falsely look like a much stronger candidate than he really is. YOUNG PEOPLE. DON’T BE DUPED! Think about it. You have the most to lose.
The democratic party needs to fix this outrage. I suggest a Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama ticket now! Everyone needs to throw all your support to Hillary Clinton NOW! So you can end this outrage against YOU the voter, and against democracy.
I think Barack Obama has a once in a life time chance to make the ultimate historic gesture for unity, and change in America by accepting Hillary Clinton’s offer as running mate. Such an act now would for ever seal Barack Obama’s place at the top of the list of Americas all time great leaders, and unifiers for all of history. But the time to act is soon.
The democratic party, and the super-delegates have a decision to make. Are the democrats, and the democratic party going to choose the DEMOCRATIC party nominee to fight for the American people. Or are the republicans going to choose the DEMOCRATIC party nominee through vote fraud, and gaming the DEMOCRATIC party primaries, and caucuses.
Fortunately the Clinton’s have been able to hold on against this fraudulent outrage with those repeated dramatic comebacks of Hillary Clinton’s. Only the Clinton’s are that resourceful, and strong. Hillary Clinton is your NOMINEE. They are the best I have ever seen.
“This is not a game” (Hillary Clinton)
Sincerely
jacksmith…
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